Recent Publications
Preprints
Whittle-Matérn Fields with Variable Smoothness
Authors: Hamza Ruzayqat, Wenyu Lei, David Bolin, George Turkiyyah, Omar Knio
Geometric ergodicity of Gibbs samplers for linear latent models with GIG variance mixtures
Authors: Elsiddig Awadelkarim, David Bolin, Xiaotian Jin, Alexandre B. Simas, Jonas Wallin
Forecasting the Term Structure of Interest Rates with SPDE-Based Models
Authors: Qihao Duan, Alexandre B. Simas, David Bolin, Raphaël Huser
Intrinsic Whittle-Matérn fields and sparse spatial extremes
Authors: David Bolin, Peter Braunsteins, Sebastian Engelke, Raphaël Huser
Fractional and Integer Order Sobolev Spaces for Compact Metric Graphs
Authors: Elsiddig Awadelkarim, David Bolin, Alexandre B. Simas
Bayesian Inverse Problems on Metric Graphs
Authors: David Bolin, Wenwen Li, Daniel Sanz-Alonso
Separation-based causal discovery for extremes
Authors: Junshu Jiang, Jordan Richards, Raphaël Huser, David Bolin
Incorporating Correlated Nugget Effects in Multivariate Spatial Models: An Application to Argo Ocean Data
Authors: Damilya Saduakhas, David Bolin, Xiaotian Jin, Alexandre B. Simas, Jonas Wallin
rSPDE: tools for statistical modeling using fractional SPDEs
Authors: David Bolin, Alexandre B. Simas
Log-Gaussian Cox Processes on General Metric Graphs
Authors: David Bolin, Damilya Saduakhas, Alexandre B. Simas
A new class of non-stationary Gaussian fields with general smoothness on metric graphs
Authors: David Bolin, Lenin Riera-Segura, Alexandre B. Simas
An explicit link between graphical models and Gaussian Markov random fields on metric graphs
Authors: David Bolin, Alexandre B. Simas, Jonas Wallin
Fast and robust cross-validation-based scoring rule inference for spatial statistics
Authors: Helga Kristín Ólafsdóttir,Holger Rootzén, David Bolin
Wasserstein complexity penalization priors: a new class of penalizing complexity priors
Authors: David Bolin, Alexandre B. Simas, Zhen Xiong
Statistical inference for Gaussian Whittle-Matérn fields on metric graphs
Authors: David Bolin, Alexandre Simas, Jonas Wallin
Published 2026
Spatial self-confounding: Smoothness-related estimation bias in spatial regression models
Year: 2026+ | Journal: Biometrika | Authors: David Bolin, Jonas Wallin | DOI: 10.1093/biomet/asaf076
Tail dependence coefficients of moving average processes driven by exponential-tailed Lévy noise
Year: 2026+ | Journal: Extremes | Authors: Zhongwei Zhang, David Bolin, Sebastian Engelke, Raphaël Huser | DOI: 10.1007/s10687-025-00517-4
The Efficient Tail Hypothesis: An Extreme Value Perspective on Market Efficiency
Year: 2026+ | Journal: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics | Authors: Junshu Jiang, Jordan Richards, Raphaël Huser, David Bolin | DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2025.2540080
Markov properties of Gaussian random fields on compact metric graphs
Year: 2026 | Journal: Bernoulli | Authors: David Bolin, Alexandre B. Simas, Jonas Wallin | DOI: 10.3150/25-BEJ1853
Published 2025
Leveraging population information in brain connectivity via Bayesian ICA with a novel informative prior for correlation matrices
Year: 2025 | Journal: Biostatistics | Authors: Amanda F. Mejia, David Bolin, Daniel A. Spencer, Ani Eloyan | DOI: doi.org/10.1093/biostatistics/kxaf022
Efficient Modeling of Spatial Extremes over Large Geographical Domains
Year: 2025 | Journal: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics | Authors: Arnab Hazra, Raphaël Huser, David Bolin | DOI: 10.1080/10618600.2024.2409784
Robustness, model checking and latent Gaussian models
Year: 2025 | Journal: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B | Authors: Rafael Cabral, David Bolin, Håvard Rue | DOI: 10.1093/jrsssb/qkae107
Linear cost and exponentially convergent approximation of Gaussian Matérn processes
Year: 2025 | Journal: Journal of Machine Learning Research | Authors: David Bolin, Vaibhav Mehandiratta, Alexandre B. Simas | Link: jmlr.org/papers/v26/24-1779.html
New descriptors of connectivity-bottleneck effects improve understanding and prediction of diffusive transport in pore geometries
Year: 2025 | Journal: Computational Materials Science | Authors: Sandra Barman, Holger Rootzén, David Bolin | DOI: 10.1016/j.commatsci.2025.113942
Enhanced spatial modeling on linear networks using Gaussian Whittle-Matérn fields
Year: 2025 | Journal: Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment | Authors: Somnath Chaudhuri, Maria A. Barceló, Pablo Juan, Diego Varga, David Bolin, Håvard Rue, Marc Saez | DOI: 10.1007/s00477-025-02912-6
Published 2024
Fitting latent non-Gaussian models using variational Bayes and Laplace approximations
Year: 2024 | Journal: Journal of the American Statistical Association | Authors: Rafael Cabral, David Bolin, Håvard Rue | DOI: 0.1080/01621459.2023.2296704
Locally tail-scale invariant scoring rules for evaluation of extreme value forecasts
Year: 2024 | Journal: International Journal of Forecasting | Authors: Helga Kristin Olafsdottir, Holger Rootzén, David Bolin | DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2024.02.007
Regularity and numerical approximation of fractional elliptic differential equations on compact metric graphs
Year: 2024 | Journal: Mathematics of Computation | Authors: David Bolin, Mihály Kovács, Vivek Kumar, Alexandre B. Simas | DOI: 10.1090/mcom/3929
A diffusion-based spatio-temporal extension of Gaussian Matérn fields
Year: 2024 | Journal: Statistics and Operations Research Transactions (SORT) | Authors: Finn Lindgren, Haakon Bakka, David Bolin, Elias Krainski, Håvard Rue | DOI: 10.57645/20.8080.02.13
Covariance–Based Rational Approximations of Fractional SPDEs for Computationally Efficient Bayesian Inference
Year: 2024 | Journal: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics | Authors: David Bolin, Alexandre B. Simas, Zhen Xiong | DOI: 10.1080/10618600.2023.2231051
Gaussian Whittle–Matérn fields on metric graphs
Year: 2024 | Journal: Bernoulli | Authors: David Bolin, Alexandre B. Simas, Jonas Wallin | DOI: 10.3150/23-BEJ1647
Published 2023
Controlling the flexibility of non-Gaussian processes through shrinkage priors
Year: 2023 | Journal: Bayesian Analysis | Authors: Rafael Cabral, David Bolin, Håvard Rue | DOI: 10.1214/22-BA1342
Template Independent Component Analysis with Spatial Priors for Accurate Subject-Level Brain Network Estimation and Inference
Year: 2023 | Journal: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics | Authors: Amanda F. Mejia, David Bolin, Yu Ryan Yue, Jiongran Wang, Brian S. Caffo, Mary Beth Nebel | DOI: 10.1080/10618600.2022.2104289
Exploring the Landscape Scale Influences of Tree Cover on Crop Yield in an Agroforestry Parkland Using Satellite Remote Sensing and Spatial Statistics
Year: 2023 | Journal: Journal of Arid Environments | Authors: Martin Karlson, David Bolin, Hugues Roméo Bazié, Abraham Sotongo Ouedraogo, Boukary Soro, Josias Sanou, Jules Bayala, Madelene Ostwald | DOI: 10.1016/j.jaridenv.2023.105051
Equivalence of measures and asymptotically optimal linear prediction for Gaussian random fields with fractional-order covariance operators
Year: 2023 | Journal: Bernoulli | Authors: David Bolin, Kristin Kirchner | DOI: 10.3150/22-BEJ1507
Local Scale Invariance and Robustness of Proper Scoring Rules
Year: 2023 | Journal: Statistical Science | Authors: David Bolin, Jonas Wallin | DOI: 10.1214/22-STS864
Published 2022
The SPDE approach for Gaussian and non-Gaussian fields: 10 years and still running
Year: 2022 | Journal: Spatial Statistics | Authors: Finn Lindgren, David Bolin, Håvard Rue | DOI: 10.1016/j.spasta.2022.100599
Joint spatial modeling of significant wave height and wave period using the SPDE approach
Year: 2022 | Journal: Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics | Authors: Anders Hildeman, David Bolin, Igor Rychlik | DOI: 0.1016/j.probengmech.2022.103203
Necessary and sufficient conditions for asymptotically optimal linear prediction of random fields on compact metric spaces
Year: 2022 | Journal: Annals of Statistics | Authors: Kristin Kirchner, David Bolin | DOI: 10.1214/21-AOS2138
Spatial Bayesian GLM on the cortical surface produces reliable task activations in individuals and groups
Year: 2022 | Journal: NeuroImage | Authors: Daniel Spencer, Yu Ryan Yue, David Bolin, Sarah Ryan, Amanda F. Mejia | DOI: 10.1016/j.neuroimage.2022.118908
Published 2021
Spatial 3D Matérn Priors for Fast Whole-Brain fMRI Analysis
Year: 2021 | Journal: Bayesian Analysis | Authors: Per Sidén, Finn Lindgren, David Bolin, Anders Eklund, Mattias Villani | DOI: 10.1214/21-BA1283
Efficient methods for Gaussian Markov random fields under sparse linear constraints
Year: 2021 | Journal: Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems | Authors: David Bolin, Jonas Wallin | DOI: 10.48550/arXiv.2106.01712
Functional ANOVA modelling of pedestrian counts on streets in three European cities
Year: 2021 | Journal: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A | Authors: David Bolin, Vilhelm Verendel, Meta Berghauser Pont, Ioanna Stavroulaki, Oscar Ivarsson, Erik Håkansson | DOI: 10.1111/rssa.12646
Extreme Rainfall Events in the Northeastern United States Become More Frequent with Rising Temperatures, but Their Intensity Distribution Remains Stable
Year: 2021 | Journal: Journal of Climate | Authors: Helga Kristin Olafsdottir, Holger Rootzén, David Bolin | DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0938.1
New Characterization Measures of Pore Shape and Connectivity Applied to Coatings used for Controlled Drug Release
Year: 2021 | Journal: Journal of Pharmaceutical Sciences | Authors: Sandra Barman, Cecilia Fager, Magnus Röding, Niklas Lorén, Christian von Corswant, Eva Olsson, David Bolin, Holger Rootzén | DOI: 10.1016/j.xphs.2021.02.024
Deformed SPDE models with an application to spatial modeling of significant wave height
Year: 2021 | Journal: Spatial Statistics | Authors: Anders Hildeman, David Bolin, Igor Rychlik | DOI: 10.1016/j.spasta.2020.100449
Published 2020
3D high spatial resolution visualisation and quantification of interconnectivity in polymer films
Year: 2020 | Journal: International Journal of Pharmaceutics | Authors: C. Fager Dr., S. Barman, M. Röding, A. Olsson, N. Lorén, C. von Corswant, D. Bolin, H. Rootzén, E. Olsson | DOI: 10.1016/j.ijpharm.2020.119622
Linear mixed effects models for non-Gaussian continuous repeated measurement data
Year: 2020 | Journal: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series C | Authors: Özgür Asar, David Bolin, Peter J. Diggle, Jonas Wallin | DOI: 10.1111/rssc.12405
The Rational SPDE Approach for Gaussian Random Fields With General Smoothness
Year: 2020 | Journal: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics | Authors: David Bolin, Kristin Kirchner | DOI: 10.1080/10618600.2019.1665537
The COST IRACON Geometry-based Stochastic Channel Model for Vehicle-to-Vehicle Communication in Intersections
Year: 2020 | Journal: IEEE Transactions on Vehicular Technology | Authors: Carl Gustafson, Kim Mahler, David Bolin, Fredrik Tufvesson | DOI: 10.48550/arXiv.1903.04788
A Bayesian General Linear Modeling Approach to Cortical Surface fMRI Data Analysis
Year: 2020 | Journal: Journal of the American Statistical Association | Authors: Amanda F. Mejia, Yu (Ryan) Yue, David Bolin, Finn Lindgren, Martin A. Lindquist | DOI: 10.1080/01621459.2019.1611582
Multivariate type G Matérn stochastic partial differential equation random fields
Year: 2020 | Journal: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B Methodology | Authors: David Bolin, Jonas Wallin | DOI: 10.1111/rssb.12351
Numerical solution of fractional elliptic stochastic PDEs with spatial white noise Open Access
Year: 2020 | Journal: IMA Journal of Numerical Analysis | Authors: David Bolin , Kristin Kirchner , Mihály Kovács | DOI: 10.1093/imanum/dry091
Published 2019
Statistical Modeling and Analysis of Big Data on Pedestrian Movement
Year: 2019 | Symposium: Proceedings of the 12th Space Syntax Symposium | Authors: Stavroulaki, D. Bolin, M. Berghauser Pont, L. Marcus
Structure of Plot Systems and Economic Activity in Cities: Linking Plot Types to Retail and Food Services in London, Amsterdam and Stockholm
Year: 2019 | Journal: Urban Science | Authors: Evgeniya Bobkova, Lars Marcus, Meta Berghauser Pont, Ioanna Stavroulaki, David Bolin | DOI: 10.3390/urbansci3030066
Prediction of diffusive transport through polymer films from characteristics of the pore geometry
Year: 2019 | Journal: AiChe Journal | Authors: Sandra Barman, Holger Rootzén, David Bolin | DOI: 10.1002/aic.16391
Latent Gaussian random field mixture models
Year: 2019 | Journal: Computational statistics and data analysis | Authors: David Bolin, Jonas Wallin, Finn Lindgren | DOI: 10.1016/j.csda.2018.08.007
Bayesian Generalized Two-way ANOVA Modeling for Functional Data Using INLA
Year: 2019 | Journal: | Authors: Yu (Ryan) Yue, David Bolin, Håvard Rue, Xiao-Feng Wang | DOI: 10.5705/ss.202016.0055